By Shobhana Chandra
Nov. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Sales of existing U.S. homes increased more than forecast in October to the highest level since February 2007, spurred in part by a tax credit that lured first-time buyers.
Purchases rose 10.1 percent to a 6.1 million annual rate from a 5.54 million pace in September, the National Association of Realtors said today in Washington. The median sales price decreased 7.1 percent from October 2008, the smallest decline in more than a year.
Cheaper homes and stimulus such as the $8,000 incentive, extended and expanded by the Obama administration this month, have revived an ailing housing market that contributed to the worst economic slump since the Great Depression. Further improvement that would aid the economy’s recovery depends on an easing in unemployment and foreclosures.
“It’s an impressive increase and shows a lot of pent-up demand for housing,” said Dean Maki, chief U.S. economist at Barclays Capital Inc. in New York. “Buyers have enough confidence to take the plunge. The housing market recovery will be a durable one.”
Existing home sales were forecast to rise to a 5.7 million annual rate, according to the median forecast of 66 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. Estimates ranged from 5.2 million to 6 million, after an initially reported 5.57 million rate in September.
U.S. stocks extended gains after the report. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 1.9 percent to 1,111.52 at 10:18 a.m. in New York.
Year Earlier
Sales had reached a 4.49 million pace in January, their lowest level since comparable records began in 1999.
Purchases of existing homes rose 23.5 percent in October compared with a year earlier. The median price fell 7.1 percent from a year ago to $173,100.
The number of previously-owned unsold homes on the market fell 3.7 percent to 3.57 million. At the current sales pace, it would take 7 months to sell those houses compared with 8 months at the end of the prior month. The months’ supply is the lowest since February 2007.
The share of homes sold as foreclosures or otherwise distressed properties rose to 30 percent from 29 percent in September, NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun said in a press conference today.
A “similarly robust” sales gain may occur this month, he said.
“With such a sales spike, a measurable decline should be anticipated in December and early next year before another surge in spring and early summer,” Yun said.
Single-Family Gains
The report showed sales of existing single-family homes rose 9.7 percent, the biggest gain since 1983, to an annual rate of 5.33 million. Sales of condos and co-ops increased 13.2 percent to a 770,000 rate.
Purchases rose 11.6 percent in the Northeast, 14.4 percent in the Midwest, 12.7 percent in the South and 1.6 percent in the West.
Sales of previously owned homes, which make up more than 90 percent of the market, are compiled from contract closings and may reflect purchases agreed upon weeks or months earlier. Many economists consider new-home sales, recorded when a contract is signed, a more timely barometer.
The Commerce Department may report on Nov. 25 that new home sales rebounded to a 405,000 annual percent in October, according to the Bloomberg survey.
Tax Credit
Home construction seized up last month as builders waited to find out if the first-time homebuyer tax credit would end, a Commerce Department report showed last week. Builders in October broke ground on the fewest houses since April’s record low annual pace.
Sales and construction may get another boost after President Barack Obama on Nov. 6 extended the incentive until April 30. Earlier, buyers had to close the transaction by Nov. 30 to be eligible. The government also expanded the program to include some current owners.
Borrowing costs may remain low as the Federal Reserve has signaled it’ll keep the benchmark interest rate near zero for an extended period. The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage fell last week to 4.83 percent, the lowest since May, according to Freddie Mac.
While low rates and government aid are making it easier to buy a home, the labor market remains a risk. The unemployment rate, which rose to a 26-year high of 10.2 percent last month, will stay above 10 percent through the first half of 2010, a Bloomberg survey showed.
Foreclosure Filings
Foreclosure filings surpassed 300,000 for an eighth straight month in October as rising joblessness made it tougher for homeowners to pay bills, according to RealtyTrac Inc. data.
Some companies see a potential for stronger demand. Hovnanian Enterprises Inc., New Jersey’s largest homebuilder, has signed contracts or options to buy 4,000 land lots in preparation for a market recovery, said Chief Executive Officer Ara K. Hovnanian. The Red Bank, New Jersey-based builder had reduced its land holdings during the recession.
“Prices are ridiculously low in some markets,” he said at a conference in New York on Nov. 17. “That’s not going to stay.”
To contact the reporter on this story: Shobhana Chandra in Washington at schandra1@bloomberg.net
Monday, November 23, 2009
Tuesday, November 17, 2009
Home Buyer Tax Credit: 10 Things To Know
The Tax Guy by Bill Bischoff (Author Archive)
On Nov. 6, the president signed the new Worker, Homeownership, and Business Assistance Act of 2009 into law. The centerpiece of this legislation is the extension and liberalization of what is now inaccurately called the first-time home buyer credit.
Here are the 10 most important things to know about the revamped credit.
1. New purchase deadline extends into 2010
The home buyer credit was previously scheduled to expire on Nov. 30, 2009. The new law extends the deal to cover purchases of U.S. principal residences that close by April 30, 2010. However, if a home is under contract on that date, the deadline for closing is extended to June 30, 2010.
2. Existing homeowners can now qualify
The new law allows a reduced credit for existing homeowners who buy a replacement U.S. principal residence after Nov. 6, 2009. The credit equals the lesser of: (1) $6,500, or (2) 10% of the price of the replacement home, or (3) $3,250 for a buyer who uses married filing separate status. The new existing-homeowner credit is only available for purchases that close after Nov. 6, 2009. To qualify, the buyer must have owned and used the same home as a principal residence for at least five consecutive years during the eight-year period ending on the purchase date for the replacement principal residence. If you’re married, your spouse must pass this test too (whether or not you file jointly).
3. Larger credits still allowed for first-time buyers
Before the new law, the home buyer credit was only available to so-called first-time buyers, which means someone who had not owned a U.S. principal residence during the three-year period ending on the purchase date for a home that will serve as the buyer’s new principal residence. If you’re married, both you and your spouse must pass the three-year test (whether or not you file jointly). These first-time home buyer rules still apply for purposes of claiming a larger credit of up to $8,000. Specifically, the credit for a first-time buyer still equals the lesser of: (1) $8,000, or (2) 10% of the home purchase price, or (3) $4,000 if you use married filing separate status.
4. Higher-income folks can now qualify
The home buyer credit is phased out (reduced or completely eliminated) as income goes up. However, the new law significantly raises the phase-out ranges so that many more higher-income buyers will now qualify.
* For purchases after Nov. 6, 2009, the phase-out range for unmarried individuals and married folks who file separately is between modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) of $125,000 and $145,000 (way up from the old-law range of $75,000-$95,000).
* The phase-out range for married joint filers is now between MAGI of $225,000 and $245,000 (way up from the previous range of $150,000-$170,000).
5. New $800,000 purchase price limit
For purchases after Nov. 6, 2009, the credit can only be claimed for a principal residence that costs $800,000 or less. So if your new home costs $800,001, the credit is completely off limits (but I doubt too many people will feel sorry for you).
6. No more credits for kids or dependents
For purchases after Nov. 6, 2009, the home buyer must be at least 18 years old on the purchase date to qualify for the credit. Also, no credit is allowed for a buyer who can be claimed as a dependent on someone else’s Form 1040 for the year of the purchase. These new rules are intended to shut down the practice of claiming the credit for youngish buyers who really don’t even have incomes of their own (like college students who use money from their parents to buy a pad near campus).
7. New anti-fraud rules
A recent government report said the IRS has already identified over 100,000 returns with potentially fraudulent home buyer credits. This is hardly surprising when the government is willing to give away up to $8,000 in free money to anyone who files a return, even when that person reports no income. Believe it or not, absolutely no documentation was required to claim the credit, until now. For credits claimed on 2009 and 2010 returns, buyers must attach a properly executed real estate settlement sheet to the return. Also, the IRS can now simply disallow credits in fishy circumstances (like when it appears the $8,000 credit is being claimed by someone who already owns a home).
8. Credits can still be claimed on prior-year returns
Under the revamped rules, you can still claim the credit for a 2009 purchase on your 2008 return (although you would now generally have to file an amended return to do so). You can also claim the credit for a 2010 purchase on your 2009 Form 1040. This allows you to cash in on the credit sooner rather than later, and it may also allow you to claim a larger credit if your income in the year of purchase is higher than in the preceding year.
9. Credits must still be repaid in some cases
Under old-law rules for homes purchased between April 9, 2008 and Dec. 31, 2008, buyers are generally required to repay the credit over 15 years. However, this repayment rule is generally eliminated for purchases after 2008. That said, you might still have to repay the credit if you sell your home within three years of the purchase date or stop using it as your principal residence during that period.
10. Special rules for military service members
For military service members on extended duty outside the U.S., the new law lengthens the deadline for closing on home purchases for an extra year, to April 30, 2011 (or June 30, 2011 for homes under contract on April 30, 2011). The new law also waives the credit repayment rules for service members who are forced to move due to receiving new orders. The same special rules apply to members of the foreign service and intelligence communities.
On Nov. 6, the president signed the new Worker, Homeownership, and Business Assistance Act of 2009 into law. The centerpiece of this legislation is the extension and liberalization of what is now inaccurately called the first-time home buyer credit.
Here are the 10 most important things to know about the revamped credit.
1. New purchase deadline extends into 2010
The home buyer credit was previously scheduled to expire on Nov. 30, 2009. The new law extends the deal to cover purchases of U.S. principal residences that close by April 30, 2010. However, if a home is under contract on that date, the deadline for closing is extended to June 30, 2010.
2. Existing homeowners can now qualify
The new law allows a reduced credit for existing homeowners who buy a replacement U.S. principal residence after Nov. 6, 2009. The credit equals the lesser of: (1) $6,500, or (2) 10% of the price of the replacement home, or (3) $3,250 for a buyer who uses married filing separate status. The new existing-homeowner credit is only available for purchases that close after Nov. 6, 2009. To qualify, the buyer must have owned and used the same home as a principal residence for at least five consecutive years during the eight-year period ending on the purchase date for the replacement principal residence. If you’re married, your spouse must pass this test too (whether or not you file jointly).
3. Larger credits still allowed for first-time buyers
Before the new law, the home buyer credit was only available to so-called first-time buyers, which means someone who had not owned a U.S. principal residence during the three-year period ending on the purchase date for a home that will serve as the buyer’s new principal residence. If you’re married, both you and your spouse must pass the three-year test (whether or not you file jointly). These first-time home buyer rules still apply for purposes of claiming a larger credit of up to $8,000. Specifically, the credit for a first-time buyer still equals the lesser of: (1) $8,000, or (2) 10% of the home purchase price, or (3) $4,000 if you use married filing separate status.
4. Higher-income folks can now qualify
The home buyer credit is phased out (reduced or completely eliminated) as income goes up. However, the new law significantly raises the phase-out ranges so that many more higher-income buyers will now qualify.
* For purchases after Nov. 6, 2009, the phase-out range for unmarried individuals and married folks who file separately is between modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) of $125,000 and $145,000 (way up from the old-law range of $75,000-$95,000).
* The phase-out range for married joint filers is now between MAGI of $225,000 and $245,000 (way up from the previous range of $150,000-$170,000).
5. New $800,000 purchase price limit
For purchases after Nov. 6, 2009, the credit can only be claimed for a principal residence that costs $800,000 or less. So if your new home costs $800,001, the credit is completely off limits (but I doubt too many people will feel sorry for you).
6. No more credits for kids or dependents
For purchases after Nov. 6, 2009, the home buyer must be at least 18 years old on the purchase date to qualify for the credit. Also, no credit is allowed for a buyer who can be claimed as a dependent on someone else’s Form 1040 for the year of the purchase. These new rules are intended to shut down the practice of claiming the credit for youngish buyers who really don’t even have incomes of their own (like college students who use money from their parents to buy a pad near campus).
7. New anti-fraud rules
A recent government report said the IRS has already identified over 100,000 returns with potentially fraudulent home buyer credits. This is hardly surprising when the government is willing to give away up to $8,000 in free money to anyone who files a return, even when that person reports no income. Believe it or not, absolutely no documentation was required to claim the credit, until now. For credits claimed on 2009 and 2010 returns, buyers must attach a properly executed real estate settlement sheet to the return. Also, the IRS can now simply disallow credits in fishy circumstances (like when it appears the $8,000 credit is being claimed by someone who already owns a home).
8. Credits can still be claimed on prior-year returns
Under the revamped rules, you can still claim the credit for a 2009 purchase on your 2008 return (although you would now generally have to file an amended return to do so). You can also claim the credit for a 2010 purchase on your 2009 Form 1040. This allows you to cash in on the credit sooner rather than later, and it may also allow you to claim a larger credit if your income in the year of purchase is higher than in the preceding year.
9. Credits must still be repaid in some cases
Under old-law rules for homes purchased between April 9, 2008 and Dec. 31, 2008, buyers are generally required to repay the credit over 15 years. However, this repayment rule is generally eliminated for purchases after 2008. That said, you might still have to repay the credit if you sell your home within three years of the purchase date or stop using it as your principal residence during that period.
10. Special rules for military service members
For military service members on extended duty outside the U.S., the new law lengthens the deadline for closing on home purchases for an extra year, to April 30, 2011 (or June 30, 2011 for homes under contract on April 30, 2011). The new law also waives the credit repayment rules for service members who are forced to move due to receiving new orders. The same special rules apply to members of the foreign service and intelligence communities.
Sunday, November 15, 2009
Boulder County Market Update
SOLD activity for the past two months (September & October) for Boulder County have mirrored the sales figures for the same two months in 2008. In 2009, there were 471 single family sales vs. 483 in 2008 during this time period & 197 attached unit sales in 2009 versus 186 in 2008. This is a good indicator that the Boulder County real estate market has plateaued.
After several years of experiencing a decline in sales activity, this may be the start of an upward swing in the area real estate market. The balance of the year will provide a clearer picture of what lies ahead.
Overall, the 2009 Boulder County market will be off approximately 18% in SOLD residential listings as compared to 2008. (This is a projection since November and December figures are not yet available.)
Assuming November and December/2009 SOLD listings are comparable to 2008 numbers, then 2010 promises to be comparable to 2008 in total SOLD residential listings. This would have a positive impact on the market as a whole as home purchasers would begin to buy with a renewed sense of confidence. Hopefully, new home builders would follow suit and once again the sound of hammers pounding and BOOM boxes booming would be heard across the county.
After several years of experiencing a decline in sales activity, this may be the start of an upward swing in the area real estate market. The balance of the year will provide a clearer picture of what lies ahead.
Overall, the 2009 Boulder County market will be off approximately 18% in SOLD residential listings as compared to 2008. (This is a projection since November and December figures are not yet available.)
Assuming November and December/2009 SOLD listings are comparable to 2008 numbers, then 2010 promises to be comparable to 2008 in total SOLD residential listings. This would have a positive impact on the market as a whole as home purchasers would begin to buy with a renewed sense of confidence. Hopefully, new home builders would follow suit and once again the sound of hammers pounding and BOOM boxes booming would be heard across the county.
ConocoPhillips Timeline
Company outlines its proposals to Louisville city officials
By Alicia Wallace Camera Business Writer
Posted: 11/13/2009 07:21:02 PM MST
ConocoPhillips expects to open 1.6 million square feet of facilities -- more than half of its new campus -- in Louisville by 2013, Louisville City Manager Malcolm Fleming said Friday night in a memo to city officials.
The Houston-based energy giant this week submitted its development proposal to city staff for its planned global training facility and new energy research and development center that could eventually employ 7,000 people at the former StorageTek campus off U.S. 36. It marks the first time ConocoPhillips has revealed a construction timeline and specifics on the size of its facilities.
The 6-inch-thick packet of documents submitted to the city was not available for public viewing on Friday as planning staff spent the day poring through its contents.
In the memo, Fleming said the campus will consist of 2.5 million square feet of facilities and be constructed in three phases: the opening of 1.6 million square feet by 2013, another 150,000 square feet by 2018 and the final 750,000 square feet by 2032.
The initial phase will include: 472,647 square feet of office space, a 502,617-square-foot research center, a 34,967-square-foot learning center and a 120-room hotel.
The development is expected to take up 120 acres of the 432-acre site, according to the memo. Last month, Mary Manning, ConocoPhillips' general manager for corporate real estate, told the Louisville City Council that the company intended to build a "quiet and astonishing" campus that would be compact and occupy less than half of the site.
According to the memo, the undeveloped portions of the site will become "restored prairie," "enhanced prairie" or "prairie garden."
Fleming added in the memo that ConocoPhillips' traffic impact study projected the development will generate 10,500 trips per day.
ConocoPhillips' submitted plan did not include a projected number of employees, Fleming said in an interview with the Camera on Friday. ConocoPhillips officials have said that around 7,000 employees could be working on the site in a 25-to-30-year time frame.
City and business leaders in Broomfield and Louisville are eagerly awaiting the influx of jobs and sales tax revenue.
"The impact is going to be huge," said Broomfield Mayor Patrick Quinn. "Plus, they're the type of jobs you want. Those additional people will be out buying goods at grocery stores and other shops so the economic impact will be definitely significant and positive."
The Blue Parrot, one of Louisville's oldest downtown restaurants, also expects a boost to its bottom line.
"Folks who are coming and going will need a place to eat, and we hope they'll come downtown," said Paul Weissmann, a Blue Parrot manager for 21 years who is also the state's House majority leader. "When StorageTek was it in its heyday, it helped our restaurant. What ConocoPhillips is going to be doing with the training facility will likely help even more."
During the past year, ConocoPhillips officials have shown conceptual plans to the city and have worked closely with area officials on the company's new campus, Fleming said. The development proposal contained a lot of information, he said, adding that "so far, we haven't seen anything that is a surprise."
The next step for the city will include distributing the proposal to all departments for comment. The city also will take some actions of its own, including looking at impacts to traffic and utilities and creating development guidelines.
Within the next 12 to 13 months, the proposal is expected to make its way to the planning commission and eventually to Louisville's city council.
Camera intern James Collector contributed to this report.
By Alicia Wallace Camera Business Writer
Posted: 11/13/2009 07:21:02 PM MST
ConocoPhillips expects to open 1.6 million square feet of facilities -- more than half of its new campus -- in Louisville by 2013, Louisville City Manager Malcolm Fleming said Friday night in a memo to city officials.
The Houston-based energy giant this week submitted its development proposal to city staff for its planned global training facility and new energy research and development center that could eventually employ 7,000 people at the former StorageTek campus off U.S. 36. It marks the first time ConocoPhillips has revealed a construction timeline and specifics on the size of its facilities.
The 6-inch-thick packet of documents submitted to the city was not available for public viewing on Friday as planning staff spent the day poring through its contents.
In the memo, Fleming said the campus will consist of 2.5 million square feet of facilities and be constructed in three phases: the opening of 1.6 million square feet by 2013, another 150,000 square feet by 2018 and the final 750,000 square feet by 2032.
The initial phase will include: 472,647 square feet of office space, a 502,617-square-foot research center, a 34,967-square-foot learning center and a 120-room hotel.
The development is expected to take up 120 acres of the 432-acre site, according to the memo. Last month, Mary Manning, ConocoPhillips' general manager for corporate real estate, told the Louisville City Council that the company intended to build a "quiet and astonishing" campus that would be compact and occupy less than half of the site.
According to the memo, the undeveloped portions of the site will become "restored prairie," "enhanced prairie" or "prairie garden."
Fleming added in the memo that ConocoPhillips' traffic impact study projected the development will generate 10,500 trips per day.
ConocoPhillips' submitted plan did not include a projected number of employees, Fleming said in an interview with the Camera on Friday. ConocoPhillips officials have said that around 7,000 employees could be working on the site in a 25-to-30-year time frame.
City and business leaders in Broomfield and Louisville are eagerly awaiting the influx of jobs and sales tax revenue.
"The impact is going to be huge," said Broomfield Mayor Patrick Quinn. "Plus, they're the type of jobs you want. Those additional people will be out buying goods at grocery stores and other shops so the economic impact will be definitely significant and positive."
The Blue Parrot, one of Louisville's oldest downtown restaurants, also expects a boost to its bottom line.
"Folks who are coming and going will need a place to eat, and we hope they'll come downtown," said Paul Weissmann, a Blue Parrot manager for 21 years who is also the state's House majority leader. "When StorageTek was it in its heyday, it helped our restaurant. What ConocoPhillips is going to be doing with the training facility will likely help even more."
During the past year, ConocoPhillips officials have shown conceptual plans to the city and have worked closely with area officials on the company's new campus, Fleming said. The development proposal contained a lot of information, he said, adding that "so far, we haven't seen anything that is a surprise."
The next step for the city will include distributing the proposal to all departments for comment. The city also will take some actions of its own, including looking at impacts to traffic and utilities and creating development guidelines.
Within the next 12 to 13 months, the proposal is expected to make its way to the planning commission and eventually to Louisville's city council.
Camera intern James Collector contributed to this report.
Friday, November 13, 2009
2010 Sales Projections - National Association of Realtors
Daily Real Estate News | November 13, 2009
Yun: 2010 Sales to Rise 15 Percent
Home sales will increase 15 percent to about 5.7 million units and REALTOR® income will be up 20 percent in 2010, NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun told a packed room of REALTORS® today in a residential economic update at the 2009 NAR Conference & Expo.
Yun credited the home buyer tax credit with unleashing sales on the lower-end of the housing market this year, bringing up to 400,000 first-time buyers into the market who wouldn't have bought otherwise. That influx tightened inventories of starter homes, shored up prices, and helped reduce households' fear over continuing price drops.
This virtuous cycle will continue now that the federal government has extended the credit to mid-2010 and expanded it to make a smaller credit available to repeat buyers and to households with higher incomes. “The key is stabilizing prices and preserving household wealth,” he says.
Yun predicts the supply of homes to stabilize at the historic norm of six to seven months. Homes above $500,000 will remain elevated in the near-term, but that weakness will be offset by a hefty drop in starter-home inventories, which are running at about a five months supply.
The tightening inventory at all price points will help improve market performance by bringing supply into better balance with demand, but the added sales, particularly on the higher end, will also increase the number and quality of the market comparables used by appraisers to assign valuations. Once appraisals improve, foreclosures will ease, blunting their drag on the market and making it less likely that Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and even FHA will need help from the taxpayer.
“Then we’ll be set for a durable economic expansion,” he said.
New-home sales, which comprise about 10 percent of the market, will continue at suppressed levels--about 550,000 units, down from more than a million during the boom--mainly because builders have scaled projects way back, in part because financing isn't available.
"Weakness in new-home sales shouldn’t be viewed as tepid demand," he said.
Even under the most positive economic scenario, unemployment will remain elevated through 2010. Yun is predicting unemployment to stay near double-digits going into 2011, qualifying this recession, as some economists have, as the "Great Recession.”
For the longer term, the huge deficit run up by the federal government to shore up the economy remains the big question mark. Although the deficit is expected to improve each of the next three years, it will remain at historic highs. Unless the federal government releases a credible plan for shrinking it, investors will start to balk and interest rates will need to rise to bring them back. Should inflation be the result, the housing recovery will be set back.
Source: Robert Freedman, REALTOR® magazine
Yun: 2010 Sales to Rise 15 Percent
Home sales will increase 15 percent to about 5.7 million units and REALTOR® income will be up 20 percent in 2010, NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun told a packed room of REALTORS® today in a residential economic update at the 2009 NAR Conference & Expo.
Yun credited the home buyer tax credit with unleashing sales on the lower-end of the housing market this year, bringing up to 400,000 first-time buyers into the market who wouldn't have bought otherwise. That influx tightened inventories of starter homes, shored up prices, and helped reduce households' fear over continuing price drops.
This virtuous cycle will continue now that the federal government has extended the credit to mid-2010 and expanded it to make a smaller credit available to repeat buyers and to households with higher incomes. “The key is stabilizing prices and preserving household wealth,” he says.
Yun predicts the supply of homes to stabilize at the historic norm of six to seven months. Homes above $500,000 will remain elevated in the near-term, but that weakness will be offset by a hefty drop in starter-home inventories, which are running at about a five months supply.
The tightening inventory at all price points will help improve market performance by bringing supply into better balance with demand, but the added sales, particularly on the higher end, will also increase the number and quality of the market comparables used by appraisers to assign valuations. Once appraisals improve, foreclosures will ease, blunting their drag on the market and making it less likely that Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and even FHA will need help from the taxpayer.
“Then we’ll be set for a durable economic expansion,” he said.
New-home sales, which comprise about 10 percent of the market, will continue at suppressed levels--about 550,000 units, down from more than a million during the boom--mainly because builders have scaled projects way back, in part because financing isn't available.
"Weakness in new-home sales shouldn’t be viewed as tepid demand," he said.
Even under the most positive economic scenario, unemployment will remain elevated through 2010. Yun is predicting unemployment to stay near double-digits going into 2011, qualifying this recession, as some economists have, as the "Great Recession.”
For the longer term, the huge deficit run up by the federal government to shore up the economy remains the big question mark. Although the deficit is expected to improve each of the next three years, it will remain at historic highs. Unless the federal government releases a credible plan for shrinking it, investors will start to balk and interest rates will need to rise to bring them back. Should inflation be the result, the housing recovery will be set back.
Source: Robert Freedman, REALTOR® magazine
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Market Update - November/2009
To say that 2009 has been an interesting year thus far would be a huge understatement. The true impact of a global economy has become part of the world’s consciousness. Billions upon billions of tax payer dollars have been poured into various state and government programs to hopefully stem the tide of growing unemployment. The stock market has wreaked havoc with individual’s retirement funds and future plans. Real estate values have tumbled across nearly all sectors of the American landscape. A pessimist would say the sky is falling. An optimist would say there is opportunity to be had here.
A brief article in the Denver Post newspaper (11/8/2009) had the following headline: Homebuilders on the hunt for land as prices stabilize. The article talks about large production builders i.e. Ryland Group Inc. and Meritage Homes Corp. purchasing land for new home development in areas like Southern California, Las Vegas and Orlando. These have been some of the hardest hit housing markets in the nation.
Real estate markets fall quickly and recover slowly. Two things normally signal an upbeat in real estate activity: (1) Sales trends having stabilized and beginning to move upward, and (2) New home construction increasing. For the past two months, Boulder County SOLD listings have mirrored 2008: 471 single family home sales in 2009 vs. 483 in 2008; 197 attached unit sales in 2009 vs. 186 in 2008.
During the last two years there has been minimal new home construction across the Boulder Valley. In a balanced real estate market, where there are a reasonable number of home buyers and an acceptable number of properties for sale, new home construction becomes part of the housing landscape. Homebuyers contract to have new homes built and builders are willing to take the risk of building “spec homes” anticipating they will attract a buyer during the construction phase.
Risk versus reward is the key element in most real estate transactions and it doesn’t apply solely to the buyer and seller. Standing in the wings is a third entity and, in most cases, they are the determining factor in how this all plays out. They are the purveyor of the golden rule: He who has the gold makes the rules! They are the lender.
New home construction is dependent upon financing; financing of construction loans and financing of permanent loans when the home is completed. Builders are at the mercy of the lender. Most lenders today shy away from new home construction unless it is a “presale” and the lender’s risk is minimal. Want to build a spec home and get lender financing? Good luck finding a bank that will work with you without 30% to 40% down, two to three points over prime, etc. The good old days of 20% down construction loans at prime or prime plus one are history.
A brief article in the Denver Post newspaper (11/8/2009) had the following headline: Homebuilders on the hunt for land as prices stabilize. The article talks about large production builders i.e. Ryland Group Inc. and Meritage Homes Corp. purchasing land for new home development in areas like Southern California, Las Vegas and Orlando. These have been some of the hardest hit housing markets in the nation.
Real estate markets fall quickly and recover slowly. Two things normally signal an upbeat in real estate activity: (1) Sales trends having stabilized and beginning to move upward, and (2) New home construction increasing. For the past two months, Boulder County SOLD listings have mirrored 2008: 471 single family home sales in 2009 vs. 483 in 2008; 197 attached unit sales in 2009 vs. 186 in 2008.
During the last two years there has been minimal new home construction across the Boulder Valley. In a balanced real estate market, where there are a reasonable number of home buyers and an acceptable number of properties for sale, new home construction becomes part of the housing landscape. Homebuyers contract to have new homes built and builders are willing to take the risk of building “spec homes” anticipating they will attract a buyer during the construction phase.
Risk versus reward is the key element in most real estate transactions and it doesn’t apply solely to the buyer and seller. Standing in the wings is a third entity and, in most cases, they are the determining factor in how this all plays out. They are the purveyor of the golden rule: He who has the gold makes the rules! They are the lender.
New home construction is dependent upon financing; financing of construction loans and financing of permanent loans when the home is completed. Builders are at the mercy of the lender. Most lenders today shy away from new home construction unless it is a “presale” and the lender’s risk is minimal. Want to build a spec home and get lender financing? Good luck finding a bank that will work with you without 30% to 40% down, two to three points over prime, etc. The good old days of 20% down construction loans at prime or prime plus one are history.
Friday, November 6, 2009
Tax Credit For Homeowners
RISMEDIA - November 6, 2009
President Barack Obama has approved the first-time homebuyer tax credit extension which will extend the tax credit until April 30, 2010.
The extension is part of a $24 billion economic stimulus bill that will extend the $8,000 tax credit for homebuyers who are purchasing their first home from the current November 30 deadline and expands the program to offer a credit of $6,500 to homeowners who have lived in their current home for at least five years and are seeking to relocate.
The following details apply to the homebuyer tax credit expansion:
Who is Eligible
-First-time homebuyers, who are defined by the law as buyers who have not owned a principal residence during the three-year period prior to the purchase, may be eligible for up to an $8,000 tax credit.
-Existing homeowners who have been residing in their principal residence for five consecutive years out of the last eight and are purchasing a home to be their principal residence (“repeat buyer”), may be eligible for up to a $6,500 tax credit.
-All U.S. citizens who file taxes are eligible to participate in the program.
Income Limits
Homebuyers who file as single or head-of-household taxpayers can claim the full credit ($8,000 for first-time buyers and $6,500 for repeat buyers) if their modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) is less than $125,000.
-For married couples filing a joint return, the combined income limit is $225,000.
-Single or head-of-household taxpayers who earn between $125,000 and $145,000, and married couples who earn between $225,000 and $245,000 are eligible to receive a partial credit.
-The credit is not available for single taxpayers whose MAGI is greater than $145,000 and married couples with a MAGI that exceeds $245,000.
Effective Dates
-The eligibility period for the tax credit is for homes purchased after Nov. 6, 2009, and before May 1, 2010. However, home purchases subject to a binding sales contract signed by April 30, 2010, will qualify for the tax credit provided closing occurs prior to July 1, 2010.
Types of Homes that Qualify
-All homes with a purchase price of less than $800,000 qualify, including newly-constructed or resale, and single-family detached, townhomes or condominiums, provided that the home will be used as their principal residence. Vacation home and rental property purchases do NOT qualify.
Tax Credit is Refundable
-A refundable credit means that if the amount of income taxes you owe is less than the credit amount you qualify for, the government will send you a check for the difference.
-For example:
-A first-time buyer who qualifies for the full $8,000 credit who owes $5,000 in federal income taxes would pay nothing to the IRS and receive a $3,000 payment from the government. If you are due to receive a $1,000 refund, you would receive $9,000 ($1,000 plus the $8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit).
-A repeat buyer who owes $5,000 would pay nothing to the IRS and receive $1,500 back from the government. If you are due to get a $1,000 refund, you would get $7,500 ($1,000 plus the $6,500 repeat buyer tax credit).
-All qualified homebuyers can take the tax credit on their 2009 or 2010 income tax return.
Payback Provisions
The tax credit is a true credit. It does not have to be repaid unless the home owner sells or stops using the home as their principal residence within three years after the purchase.
President Barack Obama has approved the first-time homebuyer tax credit extension which will extend the tax credit until April 30, 2010.
The extension is part of a $24 billion economic stimulus bill that will extend the $8,000 tax credit for homebuyers who are purchasing their first home from the current November 30 deadline and expands the program to offer a credit of $6,500 to homeowners who have lived in their current home for at least five years and are seeking to relocate.
The following details apply to the homebuyer tax credit expansion:
Who is Eligible
-First-time homebuyers, who are defined by the law as buyers who have not owned a principal residence during the three-year period prior to the purchase, may be eligible for up to an $8,000 tax credit.
-Existing homeowners who have been residing in their principal residence for five consecutive years out of the last eight and are purchasing a home to be their principal residence (“repeat buyer”), may be eligible for up to a $6,500 tax credit.
-All U.S. citizens who file taxes are eligible to participate in the program.
Income Limits
Homebuyers who file as single or head-of-household taxpayers can claim the full credit ($8,000 for first-time buyers and $6,500 for repeat buyers) if their modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) is less than $125,000.
-For married couples filing a joint return, the combined income limit is $225,000.
-Single or head-of-household taxpayers who earn between $125,000 and $145,000, and married couples who earn between $225,000 and $245,000 are eligible to receive a partial credit.
-The credit is not available for single taxpayers whose MAGI is greater than $145,000 and married couples with a MAGI that exceeds $245,000.
Effective Dates
-The eligibility period for the tax credit is for homes purchased after Nov. 6, 2009, and before May 1, 2010. However, home purchases subject to a binding sales contract signed by April 30, 2010, will qualify for the tax credit provided closing occurs prior to July 1, 2010.
Types of Homes that Qualify
-All homes with a purchase price of less than $800,000 qualify, including newly-constructed or resale, and single-family detached, townhomes or condominiums, provided that the home will be used as their principal residence. Vacation home and rental property purchases do NOT qualify.
Tax Credit is Refundable
-A refundable credit means that if the amount of income taxes you owe is less than the credit amount you qualify for, the government will send you a check for the difference.
-For example:
-A first-time buyer who qualifies for the full $8,000 credit who owes $5,000 in federal income taxes would pay nothing to the IRS and receive a $3,000 payment from the government. If you are due to receive a $1,000 refund, you would receive $9,000 ($1,000 plus the $8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit).
-A repeat buyer who owes $5,000 would pay nothing to the IRS and receive $1,500 back from the government. If you are due to get a $1,000 refund, you would get $7,500 ($1,000 plus the $6,500 repeat buyer tax credit).
-All qualified homebuyers can take the tax credit on their 2009 or 2010 income tax return.
Payback Provisions
The tax credit is a true credit. It does not have to be repaid unless the home owner sells or stops using the home as their principal residence within three years after the purchase.
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